The Intervention

Notes on measurement, timing and control in critical care.

The patient in the bed is a dynamic system, and the hospital is photographing it a few times a day. The crimson line is what the body did. The dots are what the chart recorded. These articles are about what that gap costs, what measuring it properly would take, and what has been built so far.

All 20 articles

  1. Research9 min

    The best intensivist in your city will retire with twenty years of unwritten cases

    Indian ICUs see scrub typhus, snakebite and dengue shock daily, and almost none of it reaches the literature. The publishing pipeline is the reason.

  2. Clinical10 min

    Vancomycin is being dosed against yesterday's creatinine

    Vancomycin is dosed to a creatinine drawn hours ago while renal function is moving. The nomogram assumes a steady state the ICU patient never reaches.

  3. Clinical8 min

    ICU protocols are tuned to the average patient of someone else's trial

    Every ICU protocol is a trial average. Most ICU patients would have been excluded from the trial. The bedside exceptions are never written down.

  4. Engineering10 min

    The Henderson-Hasselbalch equation checks a blood gas analyser against itself

    Blood chemistry obeys conservation laws. When pH, pCO2 and bicarbonate stop agreeing, the equation localises the drifting sensor without a reference sample.

  5. Research9 min

    Noise in ICU data is enough to produce a respectable AUROC

    On small imbalanced ICU cohorts a random classifier scores well above 0.5. Run the permutation null, split by patient and write the stopping rule first.

  6. Clinical9 min

    A whole ICU does not fit in a working memory of about four items

    ICU doctors are interrupted 4.2 times an hour amid 187 alarms per bed per day. Working memory holds about four items. The person is the wrong bottleneck.

  7. Clinical10 min

    Serum creatinine reports antibiotic kidney injury about a day late

    Vancomycin with piperacillin-tazobactam doubles the odds of acute kidney injury, and creatinine reports it a day late. The harm sits on an unplotted page.

  8. Engineering10 min

    When a sensor drifts, an honest filter widens its error bars

    Every electrode in blood fouls within hours. A filter with a fixed noise term keeps trusting it. A reliability weighted filter widens its envelope.

  9. Engineering9 min

    ICU device integration is still done by a nurse with a pen

    Six to twelve devices surround an ICU bed and almost none of them share data. The only integration layer is a nurse with a pen, and the record shows it.

  10. Research10 min

    MIMIC's two sodium measurements disagree by a clinically meaningful amount

    MIMIC-IV stores sodium, glucose and haematocrit under two itemids, chemistry and blood gas, and the offset between them is the size of a published effect.

  11. Engineering9 min

    A clinical protocol is a program that has never been compiled

    Sepsis bundles, insulin nomograms and order sets are conditionals, loops and lookup tables. Clinical protocols are programs, and they need a language.

  12. Clinical8 min

    Models are learning the ward's sampling routine as if it were physiology

    ICU blood tests run on a daily timetable set by phlebotomy rounds, lab batches and nurse ratios. 'No meaningful change expected' describes the roster.

  13. Clinical8 min

    Diagnostic blood loss is highest in the patients who can least afford it

    ICU patients lose about 48 mL of blood a day to testing, a third of it discarded. Iatrogenic anaemia is a design flaw in sampling, and the fixes are known.

  14. Research10 min

    One sampling timetable cannot follow analytes that change at different speeds

    Glucose, potassium, lactate and bilirubin change on different clocks. Hospital blood tests are drawn on one schedule that was never derived from any of them.

  15. Clinical18 min

    The 3-hour window: intervention timing is a control theory problem

    In sepsis the window in which antibiotics change the outcome is computable from the lactate trajectory, and current monitoring closes it before anyone sees it open.

  16. Engineering19 min

    What happens when the filter stops trusting the sensor

    A textbook Kalman filter on ICU biomarkers fails once the sensor drifts. Scaling measurement noise by a reliability score lets the filter decide how much to trust each reading.

  17. Engineering17 min

    Medicine is treating a dynamic system as if it were a photograph

    An ICU patient is a coupled nonlinear system with twenty state variables and thresholds. Aerospace tracks such systems in real time; medicine photographs them twice a day.

  18. Research18 min

    Every clinical AI model is training on hallucinated data

    ICU datasets record snapshots sampled far below the rate physiology changes. Models trained on them learn aliased correlations, which is why sepsis models fail in deployment.

  19. Research16 min

    The number on your screen means nothing

    A creatinine of 2.1 describes a failing kidney and a recovering one equally well. Clinical monitoring reports position without velocity, and the frame is wrong.

  20. Research14 min

    You are treating yesterday's patient

    ICU labs drawn six hours apart leave the trajectory between them invisible. A sampling theory problem has been hiding in critical care for decades.

Nikhil Kunche

Written by Nikhil Kunche

Founder and chief scientist at Aethryva Deeptech in Hyderabad. He builds the instruments these articles argue for: tachyDx for bedside state estimation and MOISSCode for protocols that run as code. Every article from April 2026 cites open access sources only, and every figure is drawn from the numbers in them.